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Upgrade Or Mop Up?

When we take the full cost of blackouts into account, more proactive investment in local energy resiliency is a no-brainer.

Today’s NY Times has a great article about the choices we face in whether we upgrade our power system to withstand storms or just continue to mop up afterward.

Yesterday, the proposed Champlain Hudson Power Express 1000 MW line cleared a major hurdle, when two judges issued a key ruling favorable to the project’s proceeding.

The CHP Express submerged power line would cost $2.2 billion to construct–using 100% private sector debt financing–and run 333 miles from Quebec to New York City using natural and manmade waterways as well as existing rail and transmission right of ways in between.

According to ConEdison’s CEO Kevin Burke, stormproofing our local grid is much more expensive than mopping up after a storm. 

The utility estimates that burying its grid in NYC and Westchester would cost $40 billion. (Ironically, by 2017 the proposed CHP Express line would do exactly that–lie safely underground out of harm’s way. That’s why I mention it here: The private sector will fund undergrounding of major transmission infrastructure.)

The post-Sandy clean up may cost ConEdison about $450 million–far less than hardening its infrastructure against future storms.

After the worst storms, the government often helps to pay for the clean up, and–in addition–allows the utility’s costs to be recovered through rate increases in subsequent years. Either way, we rate payers pay.

The Times estimates our electric rates will rise 3% for three years to pay for the post-Sandy power line clean up alone.

So, why shouldn’t utilities just mop up now and continue to sit tight for the next storm?

Because the actual cost of a major outage may 50 times higher than that of the lost electricity, according to a recent report from the National Academy of Sciences.

As we all know, the actual cost of power outages goes well beyond restoring the power. To include the societal cost, we have to include the regional economic impact of lost business, destroyed inventory, and non-utility damage recovery costs, such as local public works and first responders turning out for ‘downed lines’ calls. 

When we take the full cost of blackouts into account, more proactive investment in local energy resiliency is a no-brainer. 

James Bankhart December 30, 2012 at 11:46 pm
That is great news about the transmission line Leo. Sadly, the infrastructure attached to it will continue to be fragile.
Well with all the clean power coming into NY, Indian Point may become irrelevant.
SPK December 31, 2012 at 03:21 am
There is good reason Generac (emergency generators) stock price recently doubled.
People woke up and now realize have to take responsibility for emergency electricity during this area's regular outages. Not going to get any better given cost to make more reliable. Good news about Champlain Hudson Power Express project. Progress is always opposed.
JM December 31, 2012 at 01:45 pm
And not just here, Leo. The most recent two major grass/wild fires that killed a dozen folks and destroyed hundreds of homes, decimated thousands upon thousands of acres of forestland in Los Angeles -- and cost billions in cleanup -- were started only because no one sees the financial benefit of burying the electric lines. Out there winds bent wires, snapped / sparked and fell to dry grass, which blew up into an inferno within seconds.
Nonetheless, whether NY or LA -- doesn't matter in this country -- we are backwards thinking, that is our default m.o. Let the next teacher deal with problem students, let the next Congress solve fiscal cliff, let the next CEO / board of directors handle toxic waste flowing into a stream from our plant -- and let someone else deal with upgrading our electric.... or bridge or buildings or healthcare system or general I.Q. level of voters. I no longer hold any hope for forward thinking and leadership in the U.S. All we have are OpEds. Our grid won't be upgraded until it collapses entirely and all of us dear readers will have to wait three months for a rebuild, from scratch, (probably at taxpayer's expense to boost shareholders' earnings) as we live by candlelight and bbq for the only way to cook. Then local politicians will express outrage and demand action....repeat.
Bjorn Olsson December 31, 2012 at 02:08 pm
Since the harm done by the outages we see on a regular basis go way beyond the cost of just restoring power, we should not expect ConEd to foot the bill for burying power lines. This needs to be a publicly funded infrastructure project. Start by requiring that all new lines are buried, and then create a plan for digging down existing lines, starting with the most vulnerable.
Miguel Hernandez December 31, 2012 at 02:09 pm
Leo: In one of my recent blogs http://ossining.patch.com/blog_posts/19th-century-utility-poles-are-not-viable-in-21st-century-storms I discussed among other things the need for a community conference on storm damage prevention strategies. Essentially this effort would begin with a public meeting with a panel of experts from FEMA, the NYSPSC , the various utility companies in our area and local elected officials and others who have to deal with power outages in the aftermath of storms. Would you consider working with me to convene a public meeting where the community could listen and the react to the suggestions of a panel of experts on possible storm damage mitigation solutions? This would not be a gripe-type session about Indian Point ( important as that issue is) but rather about developing an improved outage prevention and recovery program.
SPK December 31, 2012 at 04:55 pm
When we say "have ConEd foot the bill"...not sure it is understood that mean us. We also pay for the clean up from Sandy, all the overtime, etc.
All upgrades and investments by ConEd get paid for by rate payers--that's us. There is no infrastructure tooth-fairy. I believe ConEd would be delighted to embark on an buried infrastructure upgrade over 10 years. None of us could bear the cost. As it is, today we pay among the highest electricity prices in the US. Last time i checked, my electric bill was about 24 cents per kilowatt hour (big chuck of that is taxes). When we left maryland 15 years ago, our cost was about 7 cents. It's no wonder businesses that are electricity intensive cannot operate in NY State. And, in Maryland, most of the utilities were underground.
Miguel Hernandez December 31, 2012 at 06:32 pm
At least eight state utility commissions including regulators in hurricane-prone Texas, Florida and North Carolina studied and ruled out burying all power lines as too cost- prohibitive, according to Washington, D.C.-based Edison Electric Institute, which represents publicly traded power companies. Virginia said a subterranean system would cost it more than $80 billion. Moving power lines underground can cost as much as $2.1 million per mile in a city, with an average of $832,383 a mile in urban areas and $723,692 in suburban areas, according to a 2009 study conducted by the trade group. That compares with a maximum cost of $386,000 a mile for building an overhead line in a city with an average of $196,628.
As a way to prevent storm related outages and also to beautify the area, Winter Park, Florida is working on a long-term project to bury power lines underground. However, the project that may last 17 years. So far, about 79 miles of electrical cables have been buried. That number includes subdivisions and condominiums built with underground lines from the start. The project is funded by profits from the utility, the city formed in 2005 when residents voted to break away from Progress Energy. The utility manages electrical service but buys power from other utilities.
JM December 31, 2012 at 08:11 pm
Too cost prohibitive to shareholders. :-) Would like to see the real ''cost savings'' over time for burying lines that resulted in electric wire sparked windstorm fires (mountain states and California), power loss from storm damage elsewhere, which also resulted in death of humans coupled with loss of commerce/property and insurance payouts. Hard to put a price on those deaths, very true since we don't seem to value life above shareholders and lobbyists anyway. Seems to me insurers and anyone who foots the bill from loss of power would be willing to chip in some costs upfront to save in the long run. With lines underground and intact, the next big storm results in no losses -- an immediate return. Double it next year and the next and with every future storm. Underground is cheaper to maintain as well bringing savings all around, which equals greater profit, too.
Miguel Hernandez December 31, 2012 at 11:14 pm
JM: Its' not so much the insurers and the utility share holders who foot the bill for power outages. It is you and me and the the rest of consumers of electricity. The costs of restoration of power are passed on to us as rate hikes. Also as the legislation now stands any upgrades to the power delivery system isalso passed on to the "rate payers and no insurance company, utility shareholder is going to "chip in" a dime.
Putting lines underground is not the panacea most people and politicians think it is Not only is it costly in a direct way but you have to add the cost of lengthy disruption to a community. Street and highway traffic would be severely impacted and businesses would suffer. This is not a matter of simply digging a ditch and laying down wires along side a road and moving on. Each ditch or tunnel would have to be interconnected and would have to cross at major intersections to say nothing to each building with the connection cost being the responsibility of each owner As we have seen in many storms underground systems can be overwhelmed by flooding and excessive heat and restoring power to them is a far more lengthy, complicated costly proposition than restoring overhead lines.
Bjorn Olsson January 1, 2013 at 12:41 am
So keeping them on creaky wooden poles overhead is a more reliable and less disruptive option? I have lived in about half a dozen countries, never experienced power outages like here in the US, every year we have widespread multi-day outages after every storm, every snowfall or whenever a tree falls over. People who visit me from Europe take pictures of the utility poles, weighed down with multiple power cables, fibre-optics, etc, etc. They have never seen anything like it.
Miguel Hernandez January 1, 2013 at 05:52 am
IBjorn Olsson If you look at my blog http://ossining.patch.com/blog_posts/19th-century-utility-poles-are-not-viable-in-21st-century-storms you will see that I am advocating the replacement of wooden poles with reinforced carbon fiber poles that are much more resistant to breakage and have other safety, health y and environmental advantages.
Bjorn Olsson January 1, 2013 at 07:39 pm
Do they prevent lines from breaking if a tree falls on them or between them? If you can bury gas lines, you can bury electric lines. In the 12 years I have lived in Westchester, I have experienced at least as many multi-day outages, sometimes without any real bad weather to speak of even. However, we have never been without gas...
Demelzabunny January 1, 2013 at 09:24 pm
I propose we in Westchester, Putnam and other counties that encounter similar problems begin the daunting (and yes, expensive) task of burying our electric lines. It's a monumental task, to be sure, but if we begin now and work through it methodically, it will save everyone millions (and many lives) in the long run and will be finished before you know it ( look at the construction of the 2nd Ave. subway line in Manhattan for reference).
Miguel Hernandez January 2, 2013 at 01:29 pm
Re: "finished before you know it" ... It was recently reported in the Florida press the the City of Winter Park will take 17 years to put all of their overhead lines underground. Winter Park is about two square miles in size. Could you imagine how long it would take to do Westchester County?
Bjorn Olsson January 2, 2013 at 02:46 pm
San Diego is allotting about 50 years for its project, so sure, it will take time. It also depends on how much you are willing to allocate each year. If you only have one or two engineering teams assigned to it, it will take longer than if you have more. If you do the worst bits first, you will still see a lot of benefits right away, saving money for utilities, homes and businesses. Important infrastructure projects always take a lot of resources and often time, too. Building high speed rail, or why not widening 287 between Elmsford and White Plains, that's been going on as long as I have lived here... My home country of Sweden had a bad winter storm some 10-15 years ago where people were out of power for days and maybe weeks in some areas with overhead lines. It was decided that this was not acceptable and power lines have since been put underground, and apparently the work is still going on in some areas. They are even putting some high voltage transmission lines underground.
dleighg January 2, 2013 at 03:05 pm
Nicholas Kristof had a great piece about this a few weeks back. Those who say "just go out and get a generator" are essentially giving in to us becoming a third world country, where the well-off provide for themselves the excellent infrastructure that first world countries take for granted. Just put ourselves in guarded walled enclaves, send our kids to good (private) schools, and spend 10k on a whole house generator and let the less fortunate deal with candlelight and blankets, rather than expect our nation to provide for all of its citizens safety, good schools, and god forbid, a reliable electric system.
http://www.nytimes.com/2012/11/22/opinion/kristof-a-failed-experiment.html?_r=0
Demelzabunny January 2, 2013 at 08:06 pm
Oh, no, dleighg, expecting the government to provide (OUR gov't, which we ALL pay for w/our tax $) would be socialism!!! We can't have that in our survival-of-the-fittest society. Or as my law school buddy used to say, "IGM, FYB."
Leo Wiegman January 2, 2013 at 08:55 pm
@MiquelHernandez: I like your column about composite poles. That makes good sense.
@Bjorn: New development typically requires burying of power lines. The challenge is we have so much older development with above ground infrastructure. We certainly saw a number of ground-mounted or buried transformers short out in the aftermath of Sandy. The good news is that in about 50 years time we will have replaced more than 50% of the current commercial building stock, bringing buried lines along. Residential building stock will be replaced more slowly, but over time these too will be burying more power lines. The upgrades I alluding to include adding solar and other renewables with energy storage systems so that more locations can weather a grid outage.
Miguel Hernandez January 2, 2013 at 09:16 pm
Am all for solar and hydropower and have urged Bill Hanauer to investigate it for Ossining's water filtration plant and recreation center. I have a solar powered generator at home that needs no gasoline and emits no carbon. However, its battery has limitations. Anyway am working with several local officials to convene a panel of experts to discuss the feasibility of underground and overhead electricity delivery systems and other improvements to the power disaster recovery process. Hope you will come and contribute your knowledge.
SPK January 2, 2013 at 09:24 pm
When you find yourself in a hole, Rule #1 of holes is to stop digging.
Starting tomorrow, no new construction...residential or commercial...will be serviced with above-ground utilities. After that, lets see what we as rate-payers can afford.
Full Truth January 2, 2013 at 09:30 pm
It's time to become proactive in this country. ConEd should evaluate potential hazards to the grid and remove them.
John Taggart January 2, 2013 at 10:14 pm
The Champlain power line is NOT a good idea. Its just more outsourcing of rateables, jobs and independence. We need revenue producers here and we need to start thinking about building what we need here.
A 330 mile power line from out side the US, passing right by the sites of our gone generation plants , and a line with only a 12 year life span is a foolish short term bandaid. Any thing that can be built in Canada like hydro can be built here on the Hudson
Bob Zahm January 2, 2013 at 10:40 pm
@j335 - are you also in favor of stopping all imports of cars, of steel, of electronics?

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